Online Grocery Delivery Services Market Size, Trends, and Forecast Analysis to 2035

The global Online Grocery Delivery Services Market is experiencing explosive growth, valued at USD 671.2 billion in 2025 and projected to reach USD 4,092.6 billion by 2035, reflecting a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.8%. This surge is driven by increasing consumer preference for convenience, widespread adoption of digital platforms, and advancements in logistics and mobile app ecosystems.

Online grocery delivery services provide a seamless way for consumers to purchase groceries and household essentials through websites or mobile apps, offering doorstep delivery or click-and-collect options. Their significance lies in catering to busy lifestyles, reducing the need for in-store visits, and providing contactless solutions, particularly post-COVID.

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Market Analysis

The online grocery delivery services market is fueled by the global rise in internet and smartphone penetration, with over 4.9 billion smartphone users in 2024, enabling easy access to delivery apps. The convenience of online platforms, coupled with hectic lifestyles and urbanization, drives demand, particularly among millennials and Gen Z, with 50% of U.S. adults preferring online grocery shopping. The COVID-19 pandemic significantly boosted the market, with sales surging due to lockdowns and health concerns, a trend that persists post-pandemic. Technological advancements, such as Instacart’s AI integration and DoorDash’s drone delivery trials, enhance efficiency and customer satisfaction. However, challenges include limited internet access in rural areas, high logistics costs, and consumer preference for in-person selection of fresh produce like fruits and vegetables. Regulatory hurdles, such as GDPR in Europe for data privacy, and competition from traditional grocery stores also pose barriers.

Segment Analysis

The online grocery delivery services market is segmented by product, delivery model, and platform type. By product, fruits and vegetables lead, driven by consumer demand for fresh produce, followed by dairy and frozen foods, which benefit from doorstep delivery convenience. By delivery model, platform-to-consumer delivery dominates, capturing over 65% of the market in 2022, due to seamless integration of third-party services like Uber Eats and Instacart, which offer grocery delivery alongside meals. Scheduled retail delivery is growing steadily, while quick commerce, with under-3-hour delivery from dark stores, is the fastest-growing segment. By platform type, mobile apps hold the largest share, with over 70% of orders placed via smartphones in 2024, driven by user-friendly interfaces and real-time tracking. Websites remain relevant for older demographics but trail in growth.

Country-wise Insights

In the United States, the market is valued at USD 192.2 billion in 2025, with a projected CAGR of 18.5% through 2035, reaching USD 1,087.5 billion. The U.S. leads due to its robust digital infrastructure, high average revenue per user (ARPU) of USD 1,360 in 2023, and dominance of players like Instacart and Walmart. Partnerships, such as DoorDash’s collaboration with Southeastern Grocers in 2021, enhance accessibility. North America holds a 35% global market share. In the United Kingdom, the market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 17.2%, reaching USD 180 billion by 2035. The UK benefits from high urban density and platforms like Ocado, but GDPR compliance and consumer preference for in-store fresh produce pose challenges. Asia Pacific dominates globally with a 59% revenue share in 2022, driven by China and India’s e-commerce initiatives.

Key Players

  • Walmart Inc.
  • Amazon.com, Inc.
  • Instacart
  • Uber Eats
  • DoorDash
  • Just Eat Takeaway.com

Strategic Outlook and Industry Trends

The online grocery delivery services market is evolving through technological innovation and strategic partnerships. AI and machine learning, as seen in Instacart’s 2023 enhancements, optimize order recommendations and logistics. Drone deliveries, pioneered by companies like Manna and Wing, aim to reduce costs and delivery times. The rise of quick commerce, with services like Getir offering under-30-minute deliveries, caters to urban consumers.

Partnerships with retailers, such as Amazon’s merger of Fresh and Pantry into Amazon Fresh in 2021, expand product offerings. Sustainability trends, including eco-friendly packaging and electric delivery vehicles, align with regulatory pressures. Challenges include high logistics costs, rural market penetration, and competition from physical stores. To sustain growth, companies must invest in scalable infrastructure and expand into emerging markets with growing digital adoption.

Segmentation of Online Grocery Delivery Services Market

By Product:

    • Fruits & Vegetables
    • Dairy Products
    • Frozen Foods
    • Fresh Products
    • Other Food Products

 

By Delivery Model:

    • Platform-to-Consumer Delivery
    • Retail Delivery
    • Quick Commerce
    • Meal Kit Delivery

By Platform Type:

    • Mobile Applications
    • Websites

By Region:

    • North America
    • Latin America
    • Western Europe
    • Eastern Europe
    • East Asia
    • South Asia & Pacific
    • Middle East & Africa

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